Archive - Mantic

The 28 most important questions about Iran

Which questions would we ask if we were unconstrained by trading volume, settlement contracts, or any factor that shapes which forecasts get produced?

May 29 • Yann Riviere - exmateriae and Mantic

April 2026

A new kind of forecasting tournament

Ben Day & Toby Shevlane in collaboration with others at Mantic.

Apr 3 • Mantic

March 2026

Forecasting the Iran crisis in real time

Gabriel Fritsch in collaboration with others at Mantic

Mar 24 • Mantic

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